Risultati di ricerca
The black swan theory or theory of black swan events is a metaphor that describes an event that comes as a surprise, has a major effect, and is often inappropriately rationalized after the fact with the benefit of hindsight. The term is based on a Latin expression which presumed that black swans did not exist.
3 mag 2024 · A black swan event is a high-impact event that is difficult to predict under normal circumstances but that in retrospect appears to have been inevitable. A black swan event is unexpected and therefore difficult to prepare for but is often rationalized with the benefit of hindsight as having been unavoidable.
Black Swan Theory: cos'è un evento cigno nero? In questa crisi legata alla diffusione del coronavirus e del caos che continua a generare, il mondo sta attraversando quello che si definisce un evento ‘Cigno Nero’.
In his book, Taleb notes the three defining attributes of a black swan event: An event that is unpredictable. A black swan event results in severe and widespread consequences. After the occurrence of a black swan event, people will rationalize the event as having been predictable (known as hindsight bias).
12 apr 2024 · A black swan is an extremely rare event with severe consequences. It cannot be predicted beforehand, though after the fact, many falsely claim it should have been predictable.
20 nov 2019 · A black swan is an extremely unpredictable event that has a massive impact on human society. The Black Swan is named after a classic error of induction, the black swan fallacy. We’ll cover the meaning of “black swan,” what black swan theory is, and what “black swan” means in economics.
5 ott 2022 · Black Swan Event: Definition and Examples. Written by MasterClass. Last updated: Oct 5, 2022 • 3 min read. Black swan events exist well outside the realm of regular expectations. When they occur, they make an indelible and unpleasant mark on history.
